Avangard Kursk vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 0
AVA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
AVA
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
OLY
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
AVA
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 2
SLO
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
SOC
20%
28%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
VLA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TAM
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |