Avanca vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
AVA
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ADN
1 - 2
AVA
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUS
3 - 1
AVA
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACV
15%
24%
61%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAM
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEN
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |