Avanca vs GD Parada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
AVA
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
GRI
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
AVA
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
UNI
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
AVA
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
GD Parada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GDP
1 - 1
OLI
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
GDP
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GDP
1 - 2
SAL
11%
19%
71%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GDP
1 - 3
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 2
GDP
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |