Avaí vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
AMF
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVA
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 2
LUV
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |