Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 0-3
Avaí vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 0
PPE
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CRZ
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 2
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |