Avaí vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
AVA
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 2
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
AVA
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 0
AVA
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRZ
25%
29%
47%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
JUV
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 1
PPE
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
3 - 0
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |