Avaí vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 0
AVA
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 3
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 3
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |