Avaí vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 0
AVA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 1
AVA
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
CHA
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 2
FLU
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |