Avaí vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
AVA
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 2
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 2
FLA
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |