Avaí vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 3
SCI
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
AVA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
COR
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |