Avaí vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
AVA
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 0
ATP
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 1
AVA
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
SPO
44%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
GOI
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
CRZ
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
COR
38%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |