Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 1
AVA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 0
SAM
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
AVA
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 3
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
JEC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 2
PAY
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 1
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |