Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
CRB
3 - 1
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
AVA
2 - 3
REM
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
AVA
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 1
GRÊ
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 3
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 2
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 1
CRB
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CEA
0 - 3
VIT
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |