Avaí vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 0
AVA
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ANA
3 - 2
AVA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
4 - 0
SAO
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
CEA
4 - 1
ANA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 2
CEA
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
REM
0 - 0
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CEA
4 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |