Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
67%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
6%
16%
78%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 2
BRU
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 1
INT
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
JEC
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |