Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
5%
16%
79%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 2
BRU
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 1
INT
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
JEC
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |