Avaí vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
AVA
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
AVA
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
ASA
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
OES
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
ABC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ABC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |