Ligue 1 Round 11

Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis

Auxerre Toulouse
85 ELO 76
12.5% Tilt -8.9%
149º General ELO ranking 82º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Auxerre
19.6%
Draw
10.8%
Toulouse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
Auxerre
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.8%
Win probability
Toulouse
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Auxerre
Toulouse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 1993
AUX
Auxerre
0 - 1
Tenerife
CDT
63%
21%
16%
85 80 5 0
23 Sep. 1993
PSG
PSG
4 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
53%
26%
21%
85 87 2 0
18 Sep. 1993
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 0
Lens
LEN
73%
18%
10%
85 76 9 0
15 Sep. 1993
CDT
Tenerife
2 - 2
Auxerre
AUX
47%
27%
26%
85 80 5 0
11 Sep. 1993
FCM
FC Martigues
0 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
17%
24%
59%
85 61 24 0

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1993
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
58%
24%
18%
76 78 2 0
11 Sep. 1993
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
15%
25%
59%
76 91 15 0
31 Aug. 1993
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
58%
26%
16%
76 84 8 0
28 Aug. 1993
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 1
Lille
LIL
51%
28%
21%
76 74 2 0
14 Aug. 1993
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
55%
26%
20%
76 80 4 0