Auxerre vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
GLA
0 - 2
AUX
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
0 - 0
GIR
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
5 - 1
AMI
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LYO
2 - 1
AUX
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
54%
26%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
NAN
0 - 1
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
28%
30%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |