Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 0
AUX
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 0
ZEN
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 2
GIR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
BRE
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASN
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
TFC
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASN
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |