Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
VAL
3 - 1
AUX
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
AUX
0 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
NAN
2 - 0
AUX
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
SOC
5 - 0
AUX
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
ASN
1 - 0
NAN
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASN
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 0
STR
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ASN
5 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
ASS
2 - 1
ASN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |