Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 0
GIR
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
REN
0 - 1
AUX
55%
24%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
GRE
60%
26%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SED
3 - 1
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 0
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 0
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USB
2 - 3
LIL
24%
28%
48%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SLP
1 - 5
LIL
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |