Ligue 1 Round 14

Auxerre vs Lille analysis

Auxerre Lille
86 ELO 85
-4.3% Tilt -12.8%
149º General ELO ranking 22º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.3%
Auxerre
25.2%
Draw
20.5%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.5%
Win probability
Lille
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+8%
-2%
Lille

ELO progression

Auxerre
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2001
MET
Metz
2 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
44%
27%
29%
86 83 3 0
26 Oct. 2001
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
53%
24%
23%
85 84 1 +1
20 Oct. 2001
NAN
Nantes
2 - 2
Auxerre
AUX
59%
23%
18%
85 88 3 0
13 Oct. 2001
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 3
Troyes
TRO
53%
24%
23%
86 83 3 -1
29 Sep. 2001
LEN
Lens
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
58%
23%
19%
86 87 1 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2001
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
4 - 2
Lille
LIL
70%
19%
11%
85 90 5 0
31 Oct. 2001
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
15%
20%
66%
85 91 6 0
27 Oct. 2001
LIL
Lille
2 - 0
Metz
MET
55%
25%
21%
85 84 1 0
23 Oct. 2001
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 1
Lille
LIL
77%
16%
7%
85 91 6 0
20 Oct. 2001
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 0
Lille
LIL
50%
27%
23%
85 84 1 0