Auxerre II vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
7º
56
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 1
AUX
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 0
OLY
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
AUX
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUX
1 - 1
OLY
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 1
AUX
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 0
JUR
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 0
MGG
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MGG
0 - 0
LYO
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SÈT
0 - 3
MGG
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 0
FRE
39%
29%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |