Autol vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 1
OYO
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
AUT
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AUT
3 - 2
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
3 - 0
AUT
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 0
TAT
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
ALD
23%
23%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 2
CEN
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
RAP
31%
26%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
CEN
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
HAR
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |