Autol vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAÑ
1 - 4
AUT
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
AUT
6 - 1
CDA
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
AUT
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AUT
6 - 1
NAX
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
6 - 1
BAÑ
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
VAR
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
YAG
56%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAR
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
CEN
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |