Autol vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NAX
2 - 1
AUT
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
YAG
5 - 3
AUT
63%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 0
RAP
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 1
AUT
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 1
BER
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
HSC
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAÑ
4 - 2
ALD
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 1
AUT
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TED
2 - 0
ALD
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |