Auto Esporte vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
AUT
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
AUT
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
AUT
3 - 1
ECP
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TRE
4 - 0
AUT
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
3 - 0
AUT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
CAM
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
CSP
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
3 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CSP
3 - 0
AUT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |