Austria Wien vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KAP
2 - 2
AUS
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
REI
0 - 2
AUS
12%
19%
69%
|
80 | 27 | 53 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 1
RAP
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 2
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
RIE
2 - 1
AUS
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 2
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |