Austin FC II vs Minnesota United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 3
COR
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SPK
0 - 2
AFC
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
AFC
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOT
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
AFC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 1
MIN
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 1
MIN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
STL
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
5 - 1
MIN
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |