Austin Bold vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
AUB
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
AUB
3 - 0
RGV
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
OKC
4 - 2
AUB
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
5 - 1
TUL
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 3
LAG
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 0
TAC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
SAC
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 1
SAC
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAC
4 - 0
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 0
LVG
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |