Aurora FC vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
ESC
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
XIN
3 - 0
SPD
36%
26%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COA
0 - 0
XIN
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
XIN
3 - 1
IZT
52%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
XIN
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
XIN
2 - 0
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |