Aurora FC vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
ZAC
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
JUP
0 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 1
AGB
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 1
JUP
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
JUP
1 - 2
LEO
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 1
LEO
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
COA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
XIN
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |