Aurora FC vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
SPD
2 - 0
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AME
0 - 4
AUR
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
NUE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 0
ANT
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
SPD
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COA
3 - 0
ANT
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
AME
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |