Aurillac Arpajon vs Lège-Cap-Ferret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
AUR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LES
0 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
LIM
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
LEG
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 2
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LIM
2 - 1
LEG
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 0
TOU
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEG
1 - 2
LES
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |