August Town vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
August Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 0
CAV
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
AUG
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
AUG
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AUG
0 - 1
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
BOY
1 - 0
AUG
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 2
ARN
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
WAT
2 - 0
LIO
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 3
LIO
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
LIO
2 - 1
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |