Bundesliga U17 Süd/Südwest round 15

FC Augsburg U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis

FC Augsburg U17 Mainz 05 U17
20 ELO 33
-14% Tilt 6.9%
9765º General ELO ranking 9070º
474º Country ELO ranking 442º
ELO win probability
15.1%
FC Augsburg U17
19.2%
Draw
65.7%
Mainz 05 U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
FC Augsburg U17
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg U17
-15%
+2%
Mainz 05 U17

ELO progression

FC Augsburg U17
Mainz 05 U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg U17
FC Augsburg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2014
AUG
FC Augsburg U17
0 - 1
SC Freiburg U17
SCF
20%
21%
59%
22 31 9 0
16 Feb. 2014
FCK
1. FC Kaiserslautern U17
3 - 1
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
26%
22%
52%
23 17 6 -1
07 Dec. 2013
MUN
TSV 1860 München U17
5 - 0
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
48%
23%
29%
23 25 2 0
30 Nov. 2013
FCN
Nürnberg U17
2 - 0
FC Augsburg U17
AUG
55%
21%
24%
24 26 2 -1
23 Nov. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg U17
2 - 0
Ingolstadt U17
ING
77%
15%
8%
24 12 12 0

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2014
GRF
Greuther Fürth U17
1 - 2
Mainz 05 U17
M05
46%
23%
31%
32 31 1 0
16 Feb. 2014
M05
Mainz 05 U17
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
64%
20%
16%
31 25 6 +1
08 Dec. 2013
M05
Mainz 05 U17
0 - 4
SC Freiburg U17
SCF
54%
22%
24%
33 29 4 -2
01 Dec. 2013
M05
Mainz 05 U17
2 - 1
1. FC Kaiserslautern U17
FCK
82%
12%
5%
33 16 17 0
23 Nov. 2013
FSF
FSV Frankfurt U17
2 - 3
Mainz 05 U17
M05
12%
17%
71%
32 14 18 +1