Bundesliga U19 Group G Round 9

FC Augsburg U19 vs Ulm U19 analysis

FC Augsburg U19 Ulm U19
18 ELO 15
5.6% Tilt 9.5%
11019º General ELO ranking 14209º
532º Country ELO ranking 628º
ELO win probability
54.1%
FC Augsburg U19
19.8%
Draw
26.1%
Ulm U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
FC Augsburg U19
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
26.1%
Win probability
Ulm U19
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg U19
+154%
-30%
Ulm U19

Points and table prediction

FC Augsburg U19
Their league position
Ulm U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
18
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München U19
38
38
100%
Unterhaching U19
27
27
100%
Ingolstadt U19
21
24
74%
1860 München U19
20
20
74%
FC Augsburg U19
19
19
100%
Ulm U19
18
18
100%
Greuther Fürth U19
8
9
100%
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
4
5
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Augsburg U19
Ulm U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

FC Augsburg U19
Ulm U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg U19
FC Augsburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2024
ING
Ingolstadt U19
2 - 4
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
78%
15%
8%
16 31 15 0
22 Sep. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
2 - 3
Bayern München U19
BYM
8%
13%
80%
16 35 19 0
14 Sep. 2024
SJR
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
2 - 2
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
34%
21%
45%
16 13 3 0
24 Aug. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
2 - 2
1860 München U19
MUN
29%
22%
50%
16 21 5 0
17 Aug. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
0 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
50%
21%
29%
15 15 0 +1

Matches

Ulm U19
Ulm U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
SSU
Ulm U19
4 - 2
1860 München U19
MUN
25%
21%
54%
14 21 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
UNT
Unterhaching U19
3 - 0
Ulm U19
SSU
67%
17%
16%
15 19 4 -1
14 Sep. 2024
SSU
Ulm U19
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
46%
22%
33%
15 16 1 0
24 Aug. 2024
ING
Ingolstadt U19
1 - 2
Ulm U19
SSU
77%
15%
9%
13 33 20 +2
17 Aug. 2024
SSU
Ulm U19
3 - 1
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
SJR
31%
22%
47%
12 15 3 +1