Bundesliga U19 Group G Round 11

FC Augsburg U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis

FC Augsburg U19 Greuther Fürth U19
17 ELO 14
8.1% Tilt 7.6%
11504º General ELO ranking 14553º
541º Country ELO ranking 626º
ELO win probability
70%
FC Augsburg U19
16.4%
Draw
13.7%
Greuther Fürth U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
FC Augsburg U19
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.7%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth U19
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg U19
+169%
-14%
Greuther Fürth U19

Points and table prediction

FC Augsburg U19
Their league position
Greuther Fürth U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München U19
38
38
100%
Unterhaching U19
27
27
100%
Ingolstadt U19
21
24
74%
1860 München U19
20
20
74%
FC Augsburg U19
19
19
100%
Ulm U19
18
18
100%
Greuther Fürth U19
8
9
100%
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
4
5
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Augsburg U19
Greuther Fürth U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

FC Augsburg U19
Greuther Fürth U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg U19
FC Augsburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
UNT
Unterhaching U19
0 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
54%
20%
25%
17 19 2 0
19 Oct. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
3 - 1
Ulm U19
SSU
54%
20%
26%
16 15 1 +1
27 Sep. 2024
ING
Ingolstadt U19
2 - 4
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
80%
13%
6%
14 30 16 +2
22 Sep. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
2 - 3
Bayern München U19
BYM
7%
12%
81%
15 35 20 -1
14 Sep. 2024
SJR
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
2 - 2
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
37%
21%
42%
15 13 2 0

Matches

Greuther Fürth U19
Greuther Fürth U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
0 - 2
Ingolstadt U19
ING
11%
16%
73%
14 29 15 0
19 Oct. 2024
MUN
1860 München U19
5 - 4
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
68%
17%
15%
14 19 5 0
28 Sep. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
0 - 8
Bayern München U19
BYM
7%
12%
81%
16 35 19 -2
20 Sep. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
2 - 0
SSV Jahn Regensburg U19
SJR
56%
20%
24%
14 13 1 +2
14 Sep. 2024
SSU
Ulm U19
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
50%
21%
30%
14 14 0 0