Regionalliga Bayern Round 38

FC Augsburg II vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis

FC Augsburg II Ingolstadt 04 II
49 ELO 46
1% Tilt -1.7%
2791º General ELO ranking 3573º
125º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
41.6%
FC Augsburg II
24.1%
Draw
34.3%
Ingolstadt 04 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.3%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04 II
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg II
-18%
-20%
Ingolstadt 04 II

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
Ingolstadt 04 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2018
SEL
Seligenporten
0 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
25%
25%
50%
47 39 8 0
28 Apr. 2018
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
54%
23%
23%
47 44 3 0
24 Apr. 2018
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
31%
24%
45%
46 50 4 +1
21 Apr. 2018
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
73%
17%
9%
45 63 18 +1
17 Apr. 2018
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 2
Schalding-Heining
SCH
48%
23%
29%
46 44 2 -1

Matches

Ingolstadt 04 II
Ingolstadt 04 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 3
FC Pipinsried
FCP
72%
17%
11%
48 38 10 0
27 Apr. 2018
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
1 - 0
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
34%
24%
42%
49 46 3 -1
24 Apr. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 4
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
59%
22%
20%
50 47 3 -1
21 Apr. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
2 - 3
Schweinfurt
SCH
45%
23%
31%
51 50 1 -1
17 Apr. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 4
1860 München
MUN
24%
26%
50%
52 63 11 -1