Regionalliga Bavaria Round 5

FC Augsburg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

FC Augsburg II Bayreuth SpVgg
41 ELO 44
-2.8% Tilt -2.3%
2809º General ELO ranking 2265º
122º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
43.2%
FC Augsburg II
23.9%
Draw
32.9%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.9%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg II
-15%
-17%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2019
NUR
Nürnberg II
4 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
60%
21%
19%
44 47 3 0
19 Jul. 2019
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
Rosenheim
ROS
53%
24%
24%
44 41 3 0
12 Jul. 2019
BUC
Buchbach
1 - 3
FC Augsburg II
AUG
48%
24%
28%
42 42 0 +2
06 Jul. 2019
ULM
SSV Ulm
2 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
56%
23%
21%
43 47 4 -1
18 May. 2019
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
43%
24%
33%
43 42 1 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2019
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Buchbach
BUC
44%
25%
32%
42 42 0 0
23 Jul. 2019
MEM
Memmingen
2 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
38%
24%
38%
41 39 2 +1
20 Jul. 2019
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
VfR Garching
VRG
50%
23%
26%
43 40 3 -2
12 Jul. 2019
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
4 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
40%
23%
37%
45 42 3 -2
06 Jul. 2019
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
9%
16%
76%
45 65 20 0