Auerbach vs Wacker Nordhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
6º
15º
6º
36
7º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VFL
1 - 0
AUE
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
BIS
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 2
AUE
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 3
PLA
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
SCF
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Nordhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WAC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
24%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
WAC
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
1 - 0
LFC
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 0
WAC
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
5 - 1
VFB
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |