Auerbach vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 2
AUE
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUE
4 - 1
ERZ
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POS
2 - 0
AUE
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AUE
3 - 1
VFL
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GER
2 - 1
AUE
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
GER
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAC
20%
24%
57%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
LOK
34%
27%
38%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DYN
2 - 2
SAC
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 1
BUD
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |