Auerbach vs Meuselwitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
GER
3 - 0
AUE
68%
20%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AUE
2 - 4
SVD
11%
21%
69%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BUD
2 - 0
AUE
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
AUE
2 - 1
ZWI
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Meuselwitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MEU
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 1
MEU
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MEU
2 - 1
GER
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SVD
1 - 3
MEU
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MEU
0 - 2
BUD
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |