Audax São Paulo vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 0
AUD
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
AUD
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
AUD
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 2
AUD
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
URT
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
POR
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 4
BOT
10%
22%
69%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
MAD
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |