Audax Rio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 3
AUD
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
NOV
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 4
AUD
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
DUQ
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |