Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Audax Italiano vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 3
ACS
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 0
SWA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
OHI
1 - 0
ACS
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 3
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COQ
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |