Apertura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Audax Italiano vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACS
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ACS
2 - 2
HUA
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
ACS
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
5 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 5
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |