Clausura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Audax Italiano vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACS
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ACS
0 - 0
CSL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 2
ACS
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 0
CSD
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COB
0 - 1
ACS
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACS
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
OHI
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CSD
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |