Audace Cerignola vs Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 0
AUD
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 1
PUT
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USB
3 - 2
AUD
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 1
PIC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 0
LAV
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
FBC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
MOL
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIA
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |