Virsliga Normal Season Round 3

FK Auda vs SK Super Nova analysis

FK Auda SK Super Nova
77 ELO 64
-7.6% Tilt 0.5%
910º General ELO ranking 2253º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.8%
FK Auda
21.6%
Draw
13.6%
SK Super Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
FK Auda
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
SK Super Nova
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Auda
-14%
-1%
SK Super Nova

Points and table prediction

FK Auda
Their league position
SK Super Nova
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
23
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Riga FC
67
84
67%
FK RFS
61
79
67%
FK Liepāja
44
61
87.5%
FK Auda
37
52
58.5%
BFC Daugavpils
34
49
57.5%
FS Jelgava
28
37
31.5%
FK Tukums 2000
24
36
20%
SK Super Nova
23
35
19%
FK Metta
21
32
26%
Grobiņa
10º
20
31
10º
38%
Expected probabilities
FK Auda
SK Super Nova
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
10.5% 0%
Mid-table
89.5% 67.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 21.5%
Relegation
0% 11%

ELO progression

FK Auda
SK Super Nova
FK RFS
FK Liepāja
Grobiņa
Riga FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Auda
FK Auda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 2
FK Auda
AUD
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 0
05 Mar. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 2
FK RFS
RIG
38%
26%
36%
77 77 0 0
21 Feb. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
0 - 0
Thisted
THI
77%
15%
8%
77 51 26 0
17 Feb. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
0 - 0
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
25%
24%
52%
77 85 8 0
12 Feb. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 3
Zbrojovka Brno
ZBR
62%
21%
18%
77 63 14 0

Matches

SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
4 - 0
FK Metta
FSM
44%
24%
32%
63 63 0 0
06 Mar. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
69%
20%
12%
63 77 14 0
16 Feb. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
0 - 0
Narva Trans
TRA
39%
23%
38%
63 68 5 0
15 Feb. 2025
DTE
Dziugas Telsiai
0 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
41%
24%
35%
63 64 1 0
08 Feb. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 0
Leevon PPK
FSL
86%
10%
4%
63 33 30 0